PMI and Basic FRED Information

What is the economic weather today? Key indexes and indicators for dividend investors.

Quick Reference

Index / Indicator Last Update Value
PMI June 2025 49.0
Real GDP (in trillions) January 2025 29.978
Consumer Price Index (CPI) June 2025 321.5
Core CPI June 2025 327.6
Unemployment Rate June 2025 4.1
Fed Funds Rate June 2025 4.33
10-Year Treasury Yield June 2025 4.38

You can read more about how these indicators and indexes are used here: Sector Rotation for Dividend Stability

Details

PMI
Latest Data: April 2025
The ISM Manufacturing PMI fell to 48.7 in April 2025 (from 49.0 in March), signaling contraction (<50).
48.7

Quick Definition: The ISM Manufacturing PMI (Purchasing Managers' Index) is a monthly indicator of U.S. manufacturing activity, based on a survey of purchasing managers. A value above 50 indicates expansion, while below 50 signals contraction.

Real GDP
Latest Data: January 2025
Real GDP increased to 29.978 trillion in Q1 2025 (from 29.500 trillion in Q4 2024), reflecting continued economic growth.
29.978

Quick Definition: Real GDP (Gross Domestic Product) is the total monetary value of all goods and services produced within a country's borders over a specific period, reflecting the economy's size and activity level.

Consumer Price Index (CPI)
Latest Data: June 2025
The CPI rose to 321.5 in April 2025 (from 319.500 in March 2025), indicating persistent inflationary pressure.
321.5

Quick Definition: The Consumer Price Index (CPI) tracks the average price changes of a fixed basket of goods and services, serving as a key indicator of inflation and cost-of-living trends.

Core CPI
Latest Data: June 2025
Core CPI increased to 327.6 in April 2025 (from 325.800 in March 2025), showing steady underlying inflation.
327.6

Quick Definition: Core CPI measures inflation by tracking price changes in a basket of goods and services, excluding food and energy, to reflect more stable price trends.

Unemployment Rate
Latest Data: June 2025
The Unemployment Rate remained steady at 4.1% in April 2025 (from 4.2% in March 2025), indicating a stable labor market.
4.1%

Quick Definition: The Unemployment Rate indicates the percentage of the labor force without jobs but actively seeking work, reflecting labor market health.

Fed Funds Rate
Latest Data: June 2025
The Fed Funds Rate decreased to 4.33% in April 2025 (from 4.50% in March 2025), signaling a slight easing of monetary policy.
4.33%

Quick Definition: The Fed Funds Rate is the target interest rate set by the Federal Reserve for overnight loans between banks, guiding monetary policy and economic activity.

10-Year Treasury Yield
Latest Data: June 2025
The 10-Year Treasury Yield rose to 4.38% in April 2025 (from 4.20% in March 2025), reflecting higher market expectations for interest rates.
4.38%

Quick Definition: The 10-Year Treasury Yield is the interest rate on U.S. 10-year Treasury notes, widely used as a benchmark for long-term interest rates and economic expectations.

See how this data and information is used in our Dividend Enonomic Weather Report.